モメンタムオシレータークロスオーバーボリンジャーバンド移動平均戦略


作成日: 2023-12-19 11:34:46 最終変更日: 2023-12-19 11:34:46
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モメンタムオシレータークロスオーバーボリンジャーバンド移動平均戦略

概要

この戦略は,ボリンジャー・バンドとMACD指数に基づいた量化取引戦略である.これは,トレンド状況でより高い勝率を得ることを目的として,取引機会を識別するために,2つの主流の技術指標を融合している.

策略は,価格がボリンジャー下落を突破するときに多頭でトレンドフォローを確立し,価格が上下を突破するときに平仓を確立します.同時に,MACD指標を使用して動力の方向を判断し,偽の突破をフィルタリングします.RSI指標を配置して,さらなる損失を避けるために,超買い超売を判断します.

戦略原則

この戦略は主にボリンジャー帯指数とMACD指数で構成されている.

ボリンジャー帯は,株価の標準差に基づいて計算された上下線で,株価が上線を突破すると超買い信号で,下線を突破すると超売り信号である.この戦略は,価格が下線を突破すると多めにし,上線を突破すると平仓停止する.

MACD指数は,株価の動きと方向を判断する.短期平均線が長期平均線を突破することは,買入シグナルであり,逆に,売出シグナルである.この戦略は,MACD指数と組み合わせて,ボリンジャー帯の偽突破をフィルターする.

また,RSI指標は,超買超売かどうかを判断するのに役立つ.RSIが低い場合は,超売を表示し,買入シグナルを強化し,RSIが高い場合は,超買を表示し,売出シグナルを強化することができます.

戦略的優位性

この戦略は,Bollinger Bands,MACD,RSIの3つの指標を組み合わせて,価格の傾向と変動を効果的に判断できます.以下の利点があります.

  1. Bollingerは,価格の波動範囲を判断し,トレンドフォローを把握します.
  2. MACDは動力の方向を判断し,ボリンジャーによる誤報をフィルターします.
  3. RSIは過剰買いと過剰販売を判断し,高値のポジションを回避する
  4. パラメータ最適化により高い勝利率を得ることができる.

戦略リスク

この戦略にはいくつかの危険性があります.

  1. 株価が急激に波動すると,止損リスクが大きい
  2. 収益性が低下する
  3. MACDはトレンドが逆転したときに誤判をします.

対策として

  1. 適当な緩解の止損幅
  2. 複数の回転で最適なパラメータの組み合わせが求められます.
  3. 価格転換を予測する指標が多く

戦略最適化の方向性

この戦略は,以下のいくつかの主要な最適化方向を掲げています.

  1. ボリンジャー帯のパラメータを最適化して,より多くの市場環境に適応する
  2. 戦略の安定性を高めるために,より多くの指標の判断を増やす.
  3. 機械学習アルゴリズムによるパラメータの自動最適化
  4. 高周波データで戦略の効果をテスト
  5. 資金管理モジュールを追加し,単一損失を制御する

要約する

この戦略は,全体として典型的なトレンド追跡戦略である。この戦略は,複数の技術指標を組み合わせて,安定性を高め,判断が正確であれば良い勝利率を得ることができる。しかし,ある種のリスクもあるので注意する必要があります。継続的な最適化と調整により,戦略のパフォーマンスをさらに向上させることができる。

ストラテジーソースコード
/*backtest
start: 2022-12-12 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-18 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © tedwardd

// This strategy is intended to help users of the 3commas.io platform backtest bot performance based on a Bollinger Strategy.
// It can also be used to signal a bot to open a deal by providing the Bot ID, email token and trading pair in the strategy settings screen.
// As currently written, this strategy uses a basic Bollinger Band strategy, recommening a deal start when the closing price crosses under the lower band.
// The thick red line plotted on the chart shows the average entry price of the current deal.

strategy("[v1.3laoowai]BNB_USDT_3m_3Commas_Bollinger_Strategy_by_tedwardd", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.cash, default_qty_value=1000, initial_capital=900, currency="USD", commission_value=0.1)

// 3Commas Bot settinsg
bot_type                = input(title="Simple bot", defval="simple", options=["simple", "composite"])
bot_id                  = input(title="3Commas Bot ID", defval="")
email_token             = input(title="Bot Email Token", defval="")
base_order_size         = input(title="Base order size",minval=10, step=1, defval=10)
safety_order_size       = input(title="Safety order size", minval=15, step=1, defval=400)
volume_scale            = input(title="Safety Order Vol Scale (%)", minval=0.00, step=0.01, defval=1.83)
safety_step             = input(title="Safety Order Step Scale (%)", minval=0.00, step=0.1, defval=1.55)
safety_max              = input(title="Max Number of Safety Orders", minval=0, step=1, defval=2)
initial_deviation_input = input(title="Initial SO Deviation (%)", minval=0, step=0.01, defval=1.54) * 0.01
stoploss_input          = input(title="Long Stop Loss (%)", minval=0, step=1, defval=15) * 0.01
takeprofit_input        = input(title="Long Take Profit (%)", minval=0, step=1, defval=1.4) * 0.01

// USER INPUTS
sma_short_val           = input(title="Short MA Window", defval=21)
sma_long_val            = input(title="Long MA Window", defval=100)
ubOffset                = input(title="Upper Band Offset", defval=2.2, step=0.5)
lbOffset                = input(title="Lower Band Offset", defval=2.40, step=0.5)
cross                   = input(title="Entrry at Cross Over/Under Lower", defval="under", options=["over", "under"])

// Backtesting Date Ranges
startDate  = input(title="Start Date", defval=1, minval=1, maxval=31)
startMonth = input(title="Start Month", defval=1, minval=1, maxval=12)
startYear  = input(title="Start Year", defval=2016, minval=1800, maxval=2100)
endDate    = input(title="End Date", defval=31, minval=1, maxval=31)
endMonth   = input(title="End Month", defval=12, minval=1, maxval=12)
endYear    = input(title="End Year", defval=2022, minval=1800, maxval=2100)

// VARS
short_sma        = sma(close, sma_short_val)
long_sma         = sma(close, sma_long_val)
stdDev           = stdev(close, sma_short_val)
upperBand        = short_sma + (stdDev * ubOffset)
lowerBand        = short_sma - (stdDev * lbOffset)
stoploss_value   = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stoploss_input)
takeprofit_value = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + takeprofit_input)
initial_dev_val  = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - initial_deviation_input)
inDateRange      = true

initial_deviation = close < initial_dev_val

// Market Conditions
goodBuy    = cross=="over"?crossover(close, lowerBand):crossunder(close, lowerBand) // Buy when close crossing lower band
safety     = initial_deviation and (1-(close/strategy.position_avg_price))/.01 > strategy.opentrades-1 * safety_step and strategy.opentrades <= safety_max // SO when price deviates below SO threshold %
stoploss   = close <= stoploss_value // Stoploss condition - true if closing price for current bar drops below stoploss %
takeprofit = close >= takeprofit_value // Take profit condition - true if closing price for current bar is >= take profit percentage
goodSell = crossover(high, upperBand)

// goodSell is currently unused for any practical purpose. If you wish to try it, switch these two values. 
// Doing so will make sell suggestions at high crossover upper bollinger but it does not trigger the bot to sell as written but may affect backtest results

// Plot some lines
plot(short_sma, color=color.green)
plot(upperBand)
plot(lowerBand, color=color.yellow)
plot(strategy.position_avg_price, color=color.red, linewidth=3)


// Webhook message. Defaults to string. To signal 3c bot, fill in bot_id and email_token in user settings
var enter_msg = "Enter Position"
var exit_msg  = "Exit Position"
var close_all = "Exit Position"
if bot_id != "" and email_token != ""
    if bot_type == "composite"
        enter_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "pair": "' + syminfo.currency + "_" + syminfo.basecurrency + '"}'
    else
        enter_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ',  "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0}'
    if bot_type == "composite"
        exit_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "pair": "' + syminfo.currency + "_" + syminfo.basecurrency + '", "action": "close_at_market_price"}'
    else
        exit_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "action": "close_at_market_price"}'
    close_all := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "action": "close_at_market_price_all"}'

actual_safety_size = float(safety_order_size) // Set safety order size to starting safety
if strategy.opentrades > 1 // If we have more than two open trades we need to start scaling the safety size by the volume_scale
    actual_safety_size := (strategy.position_size - base_order_size) * volume_scale // Remove base order from total position size and scale it for next safety order

// Momentum Strategy (BTC/USDT; 1h) - MACD (with source code) by Drun30

//@version=4
// Getting inputs
fast_length = input(title="Fast Length", type=input.integer, defval=23,group="MACD")
slow_length = input(title="Slow Length", type=input.integer, defval=16,group="MACD")
src = input(title="Source", type=input.source, defval=open,group="MACD")

signal_length = input(title="Signal Smoothing", type=input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 50, defval = 9,group="MACD")
sma_source1 = input(title="Simple MA FAST (Oscillator)", defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")
sma_source2 = input(title="Simple MA SLOW (Oscillator)", defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")

sma_signal = input(title="Simple MA(Signal Line)",defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")
// Calculating
ma(source,length,type)=>
    type=="FEMA"?4*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(ema(ema(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FSMA"?4*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(sma(sma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FWMA"?4*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(wma(wma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FRMA"?4*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(rma(rma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="TEMA"?3*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(ema(source,length),length),length):type=="TSMA"?3*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(sma(source,length),length),length):type=="TWMA"?3*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(wma(source,length),length),length):type=="TRMA"?3*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(rma(source,length),length),length):type=="EMA"?ema(source,length):type=="SMA"?sma(source,length):type=="WMA"?wma(source,length):type=="RMA"?rma(source,length):type=="DEMA"?2*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(source,length),length):type=="DSMA"?2*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(source,length),length):type=="DWMA"?2*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(source,length),length):type=="DRMA"?2*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(source,length),length):type=="HMA"?hma(source,length):type=="DHMA"?2*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(source,length),length):type=="THMA"?3*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(hma(source,length),length),length):type=="FHMA"?4*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(hma(hma(source,length),length),length),length):ema(source,length)
fast_ma = ma(src,fast_length,sma_source1)  
slow_ma = ma(src,slow_length,sma_source2)
macd = fast_ma - slow_ma //Differenza tra la media mobile veloce e quella lenta 
signal = ma(macd,signal_length,sma_signal) //usa o la SMA oppure la EMA sulla differenza tra la media mobile veloce e lenta
hist = macd - signal //Differenza tra la differenza precedente e la media mobile della differenza

use_stress=input(true,title="Use stress on recent bars",group="Stress")
recent_stress=input(0.41,title="Stress on recent bars",group="Stress",step=0.01,minval=0.01,maxval=0.99)
level=input(6,title="Level of stress",group="Stress")
if use_stress 
    macd:=macd*(1/(1-recent_stress))
    if not na(macd[1])
        macd:=pow((macd*(recent_stress)),level)+(1-recent_stress*macd[1])

use_ma= input(true,title="Use moving average (MACD)?",group="Moving Average")
if use_ma
    macd:=ma(macd,input(36,title="Length",group="Moving Average"),input(title="Type MA",defval="THMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="Moving Average"))

use_linreg= input(true,title="Use linear regression (MACD)?",group="Linear Regression")
if use_linreg
    macd:=linreg(macd,input(10,title="Length",group="Linear Regression"),input(1,title="Offset",group="Linear Regression"))

//macd == linea blu (differenza tra media mobile veloce e media mobile lenta)
//signal == linea arancione (media mobile dell'macd)
//hist == istogramma (differenza tra macd e media mobile)

on_cross = input(false,title="Use cross macd and signal",group="Condition entry/exit")
on_minmax = input(true,title="Use min/max macd",group="Condition entry/exit")


aperturaLong = change(macd)>0//crossover(macd,signal)
aperturashort=not (change(macd)>0)//crossunder(macd,signal)

if on_cross
    on_minmax:=false
    aperturaLong := crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort := crossunder(macd,signal)
if on_minmax
    on_cross:=false
    aperturaLong := change(macd)>0//crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort:=change(macd)<0//crossunder(macd,signal)

rsiFilter = input(false,title="Use RSI filter?",group="RSI")
rsiTP = input(true,title="Use RSI Take Profit?",group="RSI")

len=input(22,title="RSI period",group="RSI")
srcr=input(close,title="RSI source",group="RSI")
rsi=rsi(srcr,len)
ovb=input(90,title="Overbought height",group="RSI") 
ovs=input(45,title="Oversold height",group="RSI")
okLong=rsi<ovb and change(macd)>0 and change(macd)[1]<=0
okShort=rsi>ovs and change(macd)<0 and change(macd)[1]>=0
if not rsiFilter
    okLong:=true
    okShort:=true
    
usiLong=input(true,title="Use long?")
usiShort=input(true,title="Use short?")

chiusuraShort=rsi<ovs or (aperturaLong)
chiusuraLong=rsi>ovb or (aperturashort)
if rsiTP
    aperturaLong := change(macd)>0 and change(macd)[1]<=0 and rsi<ovb//crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort:=change(macd)<0 and change(macd)[1]>=0 and rsi>ovs//crossunder(macd,signal)

if not rsiTP
    chiusuraShort:=okLong and aperturaLong
    chiusuraLong:=okShort and aperturashort
    
//if chiusuraShort 
//    strategy.close("SHORTISSIMO")
//if usiLong and strategy.position_size<=0 and okLong and aperturaLong
//    strategy.entry("LONGHISSIMO",true)
//if chiusuraLong 
//    strategy.close("LONGHISSIMO")
//if usiShort and strategy.position_size>=0 and okShort and aperturashort
//    strategy.entry("SHORTISSIMO",false)

// Strategy Actions
//Buy
if inDateRange and goodBuy
    strategy.entry("Good Buy", strategy.long, base_order_size, when = strategy.opentrades <= 0, alert_message=enter_msg)
if inDateRange and safety
    strategy.order("Good Buy", strategy.long, actual_safety_size, when = strategy.opentrades > 0, comment = "safety order", alert_message=enter_msg)

// Sell
if inDateRange and goodSell
    strategy.close_all(comment="Good sell point", alert_message=exit_msg)
if inDateRange and stoploss
    strategy.close_all(comment="Stoploss", alert_message=exit_msg)
//if inDateRange and takeprofit
//    strategy.close_all(comment="TP Target", alert_message=exit_msg)
if usiShort and strategy.position_size>=0 and okShort and aperturashort
    strategy.close_all(comment="SHORTISSIMO", alert_message=exit_msg)
//if chiusuraShort
//    strategy.close_all(comment="SHORTISSIMO1")