Impulse Oscillation Crossing Bollinger Bands dengan Strategi Purata Bergerak

Penulis:ChaoZhang, Tarikh: 2023-12-19 11:34:46
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Ringkasan

Ini adalah strategi dagangan kuantitatif berdasarkan Bollinger Bands dan penunjuk MACD. Ia menggabungkan dua penunjuk teknikal arus perdana untuk mengenal pasti peluang dagangan, bertujuan untuk mencapai kadar kemenangan yang lebih tinggi di pasaran trend.

Strategi ini akan menubuhkan kedudukan panjang apabila harga menembusi jalur bawah Bollinger Bands untuk mengikuti trend, dan kedudukan dekat apabila harga menembusi jalur atas. Indikator MACD digunakan untuk menapis pecah palsu dengan menilai arah momentum. Indikator RSI boleh dikonfigurasi untuk membantu mengenal pasti tahap overbought dan oversold untuk mengelakkan kerugian lebih lanjut.

Logika Strategi

Strategi ini terutamanya terdiri daripada Bollinger Bands dan penunjuk MACD.

Bollinger Bands mengira band atas dan bawah berdasarkan penyimpangan standard harga. Penembusan ke atas band atas menandakan keadaan overbought, sementara penembusan ke bawah band bawah menandakan keadaan oversold. Strategi ini berjalan lama apabila harga memecahkan band bawah, dan menutup kedudukan apabila ia memecahkan band atas.

Indikator MACD menilai momentum dan arah harga. Persalinan purata bergerak jangka pendek di atas purata bergerak jangka panjang adalah isyarat beli, sementara persalinan di bawah isyarat jual. MACD membantu menapis pecah palsu Bollinger Band dalam strategi ini.

Selain itu, penunjuk RSI boleh membantu dalam mengenal pasti tahap overbought / oversold. RSI rendah mewakili oversold dan meningkatkan isyarat beli, sementara RSI tinggi mewakili overbought dan meningkatkan isyarat jual.

Kelebihan Strategi

Strategi ini menggabungkan Bollinger Bands, MACD dan penunjuk RSI yang dapat menentukan trend harga dan turun naik dengan berkesan.

  1. Bollinger Bands menangkap trend selepas apabila harga keluar dari band
  2. MACD menapis isyarat palsu dari Bollinger Bands dengan menilai momentum
  3. RSI mengelakkan membeli pada puncak dengan mengenal pasti tahap overbought / oversold
  4. Kadar kemenangan yang lebih tinggi boleh dicapai melalui pengoptimuman parameter

Risiko Strategi

Terdapat juga beberapa risiko yang perlu diketahui:

  1. Risiko stop loss yang tinggi apabila harga turun naik secara ganas
  2. Keuntungan berkurangan dengan tetapan parameter yang tidak betul
  3. MACD mungkin salah menilai apabila trend berbalik

Tindakan balas:

  1. Peratusan Stop Loss boleh dilepaskan dengan sewajarnya
  2. Ujian belakang yang meluas diperlukan untuk mencari parameter optimum
  3. Lebih banyak penunjuk boleh digunakan untuk meramalkan pembalikan trend

Arahan untuk Pengoptimuman

Arah utama untuk mengoptimumkan strategi termasuk:

  1. Mengoptimumkan parameter Bollinger Bands untuk lebih banyak rejimen pasaran
  2. Meningkatkan penunjuk untuk meningkatkan ketahanan
  3. Menggunakan pembelajaran mesin untuk mengoptimumkan parameter secara automatik
  4. Prestasi strategi ujian pada data frekuensi tinggi
  5. Tambah modul pengurusan risiko kepada had kerugian setiap perdagangan

Kesimpulan

Secara keseluruhan, ini adalah trend tipikal yang mengikuti strategi. Dengan menggabungkan beberapa penunjuk teknikal, ia meningkatkan ketahanan dan dapat mencapai kadar kemenangan yang baik apabila isyarat tepat. Walau bagaimanapun risiko perlu dipantau. Penambahbaikan lanjut boleh dibuat melalui pengoptimuman dan penyesuaian berterusan.


/*backtest
start: 2022-12-12 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-18 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

//@version=4
// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © tedwardd

// This strategy is intended to help users of the 3commas.io platform backtest bot performance based on a Bollinger Strategy.
// It can also be used to signal a bot to open a deal by providing the Bot ID, email token and trading pair in the strategy settings screen.
// As currently written, this strategy uses a basic Bollinger Band strategy, recommening a deal start when the closing price crosses under the lower band.
// The thick red line plotted on the chart shows the average entry price of the current deal.

strategy("[v1.3laoowai]BNB_USDT_3m_3Commas_Bollinger_Strategy_by_tedwardd", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.cash, default_qty_value=1000, initial_capital=900, currency="USD", commission_value=0.1)

// 3Commas Bot settinsg
bot_type                = input(title="Simple bot", defval="simple", options=["simple", "composite"])
bot_id                  = input(title="3Commas Bot ID", defval="")
email_token             = input(title="Bot Email Token", defval="")
base_order_size         = input(title="Base order size",minval=10, step=1, defval=10)
safety_order_size       = input(title="Safety order size", minval=15, step=1, defval=400)
volume_scale            = input(title="Safety Order Vol Scale (%)", minval=0.00, step=0.01, defval=1.83)
safety_step             = input(title="Safety Order Step Scale (%)", minval=0.00, step=0.1, defval=1.55)
safety_max              = input(title="Max Number of Safety Orders", minval=0, step=1, defval=2)
initial_deviation_input = input(title="Initial SO Deviation (%)", minval=0, step=0.01, defval=1.54) * 0.01
stoploss_input          = input(title="Long Stop Loss (%)", minval=0, step=1, defval=15) * 0.01
takeprofit_input        = input(title="Long Take Profit (%)", minval=0, step=1, defval=1.4) * 0.01

// USER INPUTS
sma_short_val           = input(title="Short MA Window", defval=21)
sma_long_val            = input(title="Long MA Window", defval=100)
ubOffset                = input(title="Upper Band Offset", defval=2.2, step=0.5)
lbOffset                = input(title="Lower Band Offset", defval=2.40, step=0.5)
cross                   = input(title="Entrry at Cross Over/Under Lower", defval="under", options=["over", "under"])

// Backtesting Date Ranges
startDate  = input(title="Start Date", defval=1, minval=1, maxval=31)
startMonth = input(title="Start Month", defval=1, minval=1, maxval=12)
startYear  = input(title="Start Year", defval=2016, minval=1800, maxval=2100)
endDate    = input(title="End Date", defval=31, minval=1, maxval=31)
endMonth   = input(title="End Month", defval=12, minval=1, maxval=12)
endYear    = input(title="End Year", defval=2022, minval=1800, maxval=2100)

// VARS
short_sma        = sma(close, sma_short_val)
long_sma         = sma(close, sma_long_val)
stdDev           = stdev(close, sma_short_val)
upperBand        = short_sma + (stdDev * ubOffset)
lowerBand        = short_sma - (stdDev * lbOffset)
stoploss_value   = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stoploss_input)
takeprofit_value = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + takeprofit_input)
initial_dev_val  = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - initial_deviation_input)
inDateRange      = true

initial_deviation = close < initial_dev_val

// Market Conditions
goodBuy    = cross=="over"?crossover(close, lowerBand):crossunder(close, lowerBand) // Buy when close crossing lower band
safety     = initial_deviation and (1-(close/strategy.position_avg_price))/.01 > strategy.opentrades-1 * safety_step and strategy.opentrades <= safety_max // SO when price deviates below SO threshold %
stoploss   = close <= stoploss_value // Stoploss condition - true if closing price for current bar drops below stoploss %
takeprofit = close >= takeprofit_value // Take profit condition - true if closing price for current bar is >= take profit percentage
goodSell = crossover(high, upperBand)

// goodSell is currently unused for any practical purpose. If you wish to try it, switch these two values. 
// Doing so will make sell suggestions at high crossover upper bollinger but it does not trigger the bot to sell as written but may affect backtest results

// Plot some lines
plot(short_sma, color=color.green)
plot(upperBand)
plot(lowerBand, color=color.yellow)
plot(strategy.position_avg_price, color=color.red, linewidth=3)


// Webhook message. Defaults to string. To signal 3c bot, fill in bot_id and email_token in user settings
var enter_msg = "Enter Position"
var exit_msg  = "Exit Position"
var close_all = "Exit Position"
if bot_id != "" and email_token != ""
    if bot_type == "composite"
        enter_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "pair": "' + syminfo.currency + "_" + syminfo.basecurrency + '"}'
    else
        enter_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ',  "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0}'
    if bot_type == "composite"
        exit_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "pair": "' + syminfo.currency + "_" + syminfo.basecurrency + '", "action": "close_at_market_price"}'
    else
        exit_msg := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "action": "close_at_market_price"}'
    close_all := '{"message_type": "bot", "bot_id": ' + bot_id + ', "email_token": "' + email_token + '", "delay_seconds": 0, "action": "close_at_market_price_all"}'

actual_safety_size = float(safety_order_size) // Set safety order size to starting safety
if strategy.opentrades > 1 // If we have more than two open trades we need to start scaling the safety size by the volume_scale
    actual_safety_size := (strategy.position_size - base_order_size) * volume_scale // Remove base order from total position size and scale it for next safety order

// Momentum Strategy (BTC/USDT; 1h) - MACD (with source code) by Drun30

//@version=4
// Getting inputs
fast_length = input(title="Fast Length", type=input.integer, defval=23,group="MACD")
slow_length = input(title="Slow Length", type=input.integer, defval=16,group="MACD")
src = input(title="Source", type=input.source, defval=open,group="MACD")

signal_length = input(title="Signal Smoothing", type=input.integer, minval = 1, maxval = 50, defval = 9,group="MACD")
sma_source1 = input(title="Simple MA FAST (Oscillator)", defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")
sma_source2 = input(title="Simple MA SLOW (Oscillator)", defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")

sma_signal = input(title="Simple MA(Signal Line)",defval="EMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="MACD")
// Calculating
ma(source,length,type)=>
    type=="FEMA"?4*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(ema(ema(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FSMA"?4*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(sma(sma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FWMA"?4*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(wma(wma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="FRMA"?4*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(rma(rma(source,length),length),length),length):type=="TEMA"?3*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(ema(source,length),length),length):type=="TSMA"?3*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(sma(source,length),length),length):type=="TWMA"?3*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(wma(source,length),length),length):type=="TRMA"?3*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(rma(source,length),length),length):type=="EMA"?ema(source,length):type=="SMA"?sma(source,length):type=="WMA"?wma(source,length):type=="RMA"?rma(source,length):type=="DEMA"?2*ema(source,length)-ema(ema(source,length),length):type=="DSMA"?2*sma(source,length)-sma(sma(source,length),length):type=="DWMA"?2*wma(source,length)-wma(wma(source,length),length):type=="DRMA"?2*rma(source,length)-rma(rma(source,length),length):type=="HMA"?hma(source,length):type=="DHMA"?2*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(source,length),length):type=="THMA"?3*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(hma(source,length),length),length):type=="FHMA"?4*hma(source,length)-hma(hma(hma(hma(source,length),length),length),length):ema(source,length)
fast_ma = ma(src,fast_length,sma_source1)  
slow_ma = ma(src,slow_length,sma_source2)
macd = fast_ma - slow_ma //Differenza tra la media mobile veloce e quella lenta 
signal = ma(macd,signal_length,sma_signal) //usa o la SMA oppure la EMA sulla differenza tra la media mobile veloce e lenta
hist = macd - signal //Differenza tra la differenza precedente e la media mobile della differenza

use_stress=input(true,title="Use stress on recent bars",group="Stress")
recent_stress=input(0.41,title="Stress on recent bars",group="Stress",step=0.01,minval=0.01,maxval=0.99)
level=input(6,title="Level of stress",group="Stress")
if use_stress 
    macd:=macd*(1/(1-recent_stress))
    if not na(macd[1])
        macd:=pow((macd*(recent_stress)),level)+(1-recent_stress*macd[1])

use_ma= input(true,title="Use moving average (MACD)?",group="Moving Average")
if use_ma
    macd:=ma(macd,input(36,title="Length",group="Moving Average"),input(title="Type MA",defval="THMA", options=["HMA","DHMA","THMA","FHMA","WMA","DWMA","TWMA","FWMA","SMA","DSMA","TSMA","FSMA","EMA","DEMA","TEMA","FEMA","RMA","DRMA","TRMA","FRMA"],group="Moving Average"))

use_linreg= input(true,title="Use linear regression (MACD)?",group="Linear Regression")
if use_linreg
    macd:=linreg(macd,input(10,title="Length",group="Linear Regression"),input(1,title="Offset",group="Linear Regression"))

//macd == linea blu (differenza tra media mobile veloce e media mobile lenta)
//signal == linea arancione (media mobile dell'macd)
//hist == istogramma (differenza tra macd e media mobile)

on_cross = input(false,title="Use cross macd and signal",group="Condition entry/exit")
on_minmax = input(true,title="Use min/max macd",group="Condition entry/exit")


aperturaLong = change(macd)>0//crossover(macd,signal)
aperturashort=not (change(macd)>0)//crossunder(macd,signal)

if on_cross
    on_minmax:=false
    aperturaLong := crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort := crossunder(macd,signal)
if on_minmax
    on_cross:=false
    aperturaLong := change(macd)>0//crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort:=change(macd)<0//crossunder(macd,signal)

rsiFilter = input(false,title="Use RSI filter?",group="RSI")
rsiTP = input(true,title="Use RSI Take Profit?",group="RSI")

len=input(22,title="RSI period",group="RSI")
srcr=input(close,title="RSI source",group="RSI")
rsi=rsi(srcr,len)
ovb=input(90,title="Overbought height",group="RSI") 
ovs=input(45,title="Oversold height",group="RSI")
okLong=rsi<ovb and change(macd)>0 and change(macd)[1]<=0
okShort=rsi>ovs and change(macd)<0 and change(macd)[1]>=0
if not rsiFilter
    okLong:=true
    okShort:=true
    
usiLong=input(true,title="Use long?")
usiShort=input(true,title="Use short?")

chiusuraShort=rsi<ovs or (aperturaLong)
chiusuraLong=rsi>ovb or (aperturashort)
if rsiTP
    aperturaLong := change(macd)>0 and change(macd)[1]<=0 and rsi<ovb//crossover(macd,signal)
    aperturashort:=change(macd)<0 and change(macd)[1]>=0 and rsi>ovs//crossunder(macd,signal)

if not rsiTP
    chiusuraShort:=okLong and aperturaLong
    chiusuraLong:=okShort and aperturashort
    
//if chiusuraShort 
//    strategy.close("SHORTISSIMO")
//if usiLong and strategy.position_size<=0 and okLong and aperturaLong
//    strategy.entry("LONGHISSIMO",true)
//if chiusuraLong 
//    strategy.close("LONGHISSIMO")
//if usiShort and strategy.position_size>=0 and okShort and aperturashort
//    strategy.entry("SHORTISSIMO",false)

// Strategy Actions
//Buy
if inDateRange and goodBuy
    strategy.entry("Good Buy", strategy.long, base_order_size, when = strategy.opentrades <= 0, alert_message=enter_msg)
if inDateRange and safety
    strategy.order("Good Buy", strategy.long, actual_safety_size, when = strategy.opentrades > 0, comment = "safety order", alert_message=enter_msg)

// Sell
if inDateRange and goodSell
    strategy.close_all(comment="Good sell point", alert_message=exit_msg)
if inDateRange and stoploss
    strategy.close_all(comment="Stoploss", alert_message=exit_msg)
//if inDateRange and takeprofit
//    strategy.close_all(comment="TP Target", alert_message=exit_msg)
if usiShort and strategy.position_size>=0 and okShort and aperturashort
    strategy.close_all(comment="SHORTISSIMO", alert_message=exit_msg)
//if chiusuraShort
//    strategy.close_all(comment="SHORTISSIMO1")

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