双重EMAクロスオーバー戦略

作者: リン・ハーンチャオチャン, 日付: 2023-12-06 18:22:16
タグ:

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概要

ダブルEMAクロスオーバー戦略は,一般的に使用されるトレンドフォロー戦略である.異なる期間の2つのEMAラインを使用し,短い期間のEMAが長い期間のEMAを横切ると購入信号を生み出し,逆の期間のEMAが起こると販売信号を生成し,トレンドの変化を把握する.

戦略の論理

この戦略のコアロジックは,EMAラインの"黄金十字"と"死十字"の原則に基づいている.EMAは価格データを効果的にスムーズにし,トレンド方向を示すことができる.短い期間のEMAは価格変化により迅速に対応し,長い期間のEMAはノイズに敏感性が低く,長期的なトレンドを反映する.短い期間のEMAが長い期間のEMAを横切ると,上向きの勢力が強くなっているという信号と見なされる.逆のことが起こると,下向きの勢力が加速していることを示す.この戦略は,この論理に基づいた取引信号を生成する.

具体的には,この戦略は,長さ1と長さ2パラメータを使用して,2つのEMAラインの期間を設定します. demaVal1は長さ1期EMAであり, demaVal2は長さ2期EMAです.これらは以下のように計算されます.

demaVal1 = EMA(close, length1)
demaVal2 = EMA(close, length2)  

EMAが計算する関数である. demaVal1が demaVal2を横切ると,買い信号 demaCrossoverが生成される.逆が起こると,売り信号 demaCrossunderが生成される.この戦略は,これらの2つの信号に基づいて取引注文を送信する.

利点

この戦略の利点は以下の通りです.

  1. シンプルな論理で 実行も簡単です
  2. EMAのクロスオーバーの成熟した理論は 幅広い応用を備えています
  3. 柔軟なパラメータ調整により 異なる市場環境に適応できます
  4. 戦略のパフォーマンスを向上させるためのさらなる最適化が可能

リスク と 改善

この戦略にはいくつかのリスクもあります.

  1. 市場がトレンドしていないとき,頻繁に誤った信号が発生する可能性があります.
  2. デフォルトパラメータはすべての機器に適合しない可能性があり,歴史的な最適化が必要である.

上記のリスクに基づいて,次の側面を最適化することができる:

  1. EMA 期間パラメータを調整し,異なるサイクルを持つ市場状況に適応する.
  2. 偽信号を避けるためにフィルター条件を追加します.例えば,フィットネススコア,音量指標.
  3. 戦略のパフォーマンスを向上させるために,トレンドやサポート/レジスタンスレベルなどの他のテクニックを組み込む.

結論

結論として,ダブルEMAクロスオーバー戦略は,シンプルで実用的なトレンドフォローリングシステムである.EMA分析の成熟した理論を継承し,適切なパラメータ調整とフィルター条件の改善により,適切なアプリケーション見通しを持つ異なる楽器のトレンド取引に適用することができる.


/*backtest
start: 2022-11-29 00:00:00
end: 2023-12-05 00:00:00
period: 1d
basePeriod: 1h
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © zeguela
//@version=4
strategy(title="ZEGUELA DEMABOT", commission_value=0.063, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, initial_capital=100, default_qty_value=90, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, overlay=true, process_orders_on_close=true)

// Step 1. Script settings

// Input options
srcData = input(title="Source Data", type=input.source, defval=close)

// Length settings
len1 = input(title="Length DEMA #1", type=input.integer, defval=8, minval=1)
len2 = input(title="Length DEMA #2", type=input.integer, defval=24, minval=0)
len3 = input(title="Length DEMA #3", type=input.integer, defval=0, minval=0)

// Step 2. Calculate indicator values
// Function that calculates the DEMA
DEMA(series, length) =>
    if (length > 0)
        emaValue = ema(series, length)
        2 * emaValue - ema(emaValue, length)
    else
        na

// Calculate the DEMA values
demaVal1 = DEMA(srcData, len1)
demaVal2 = DEMA(srcData, len2)
demaVal3 = DEMA(srcData, len3)

// Step 3. Determine indicator signals
// See if there's a DEMA crossover
demaCrossover = if (len2 > 0) and (len3 > 0)
    crossover(demaVal1, demaVal2) and (demaVal3 > demaVal3[1])
else
    if (len2 > 0) and (len3 == 0)
        crossover(demaVal1, demaVal2)
    else
        if (len3 > 0) and (len2 == 0)
            crossover(demaVal1, demaVal3)
        else
            crossover(close, demaVal1)

// Check if there's a DEMA crossunder
demaCrossunder = if (len2 > 0) and (len3 > 0)
    crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal2) and (demaVal3 < demaVal3[1])
else
    if (len2 > 0) and (len3 == 0)
        crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal2)
    else
        if (len3 > 0) and (len2 == 0)
            crossunder(demaVal1, demaVal3)
        else
            crossunder(close, demaVal1)

// Step 4. Output indicator data
// Plot DEMAs on the chart
plot(series=demaVal1, color=color.green, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #1")
plot(series=demaVal2, color=color.red, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #2")
plot(series=demaVal3, color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=2, title="DEMA #3")

//TRAILING STOP CODE
a = input(title="Usar Trailing Stop?", type=input.bool, defval=false)

stopPerlong = input(9.0, title='Stop Loss Long %', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
stopPershort = input(6.0, title='Stop Loss Short %', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
take1Perlong = input(25.0, title='Take Profit Long % 1', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100
take1Pershort = input(6.0, title='Take Profit Short % 1', type=input.float, group="Stop Loss & Take Profit Settings") / 100

// Determine stop loss price
longStopPrice  = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stopPerlong)
shortStopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + stopPershort)
longTake1Price = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + take1Perlong)
shortTake1Price = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - take1Pershort)

// Determine trail stop loss prices

longStopPriceTrail = 0.0

longStopPriceTrail := if (strategy.position_size > 0)
    stopValue = close * (1 - stopPerlong)
    max(stopValue, longStopPriceTrail[1])
else
    0

// Determine trailing short price
shortStopPriceTrail = 0.0

shortStopPriceTrail := if (strategy.position_size < 0)
    stopValue = close * (1 + stopPershort)
    min(stopValue, shortStopPriceTrail[1])
else
    999999

//calcular qual stop usar
longStop = a ? longStopPriceTrail : longStopPrice
shortStop = a ? shortStopPriceTrail : shortStopPrice


//calcula o valor do stop e TP pra lançar no alerta
longStopEntrada = close  * (1 - stopPerlong)
shortStopEntrada = close  * (1 + stopPershort) 
longTPEntrada = close * (1 + take1Perlong)
shortTPEntrada = close * (1 - take1Pershort)

//armazena o preço de entrada e valor do SL e TP

price_entryL = 0.0
price_entryL := na(price_entryL) ? na : price_entryL[1]
price_entryS = 0.0
price_entryS := na(price_entryS) ? na : price_entryS[1]
stopL = 0.0
stopL := na(stopL) ? na : stopL[1]
stopS = 0.0
stopS := na(stopS) ? na : stopS[1]
takeL = 0.0
takeL := na(takeL) ? na : takeL[1]
takeS = 0.0
takeS := na(takeS) ? na : takeS[1]

if (demaCrossover)
    price_entryL := close
    stopL := close  * (1 - stopPerlong)
    takeL := close * (1 + take1Perlong)
    
if (demaCrossunder)
    price_entryS := close
    stopS := close  * (1 + stopPershort)
    takeS := close * (1 - take1Pershort)

resultadoL = ((close - price_entryL)/price_entryL) * 100
resultadoLexit = "(SL = 1% e TP = 0,5%)"
resultadoS = ((price_entryS - close)/price_entryS) * 100
resultadoSexit = "(SL = 1% e TP = 0,5)%"
// Make input options that configure backtest date range
_startDate = input(title="Start Date", type=input.integer,
     defval=1, minval=1, maxval=31, group="BackTest Period")
_startMonth = input(title="Start Month", type=input.integer,
     defval=1, minval=1, maxval=12, group="BackTest Period")
_startYear = input(title="Start Year", type=input.integer,
     defval=2018, minval=1800, maxval=2100, group="BackTest Period")

_endDate = input(title="End Date", type=input.integer,
     defval=31, minval=1, maxval=31, group="BackTest Period")
_endMonth = input(title="End Month", type=input.integer,
     defval=12, minval=1, maxval=12, group="BackTest Period")
_endYear = input(title="End Year", type=input.integer,
     defval=2031, minval=1800, maxval=2100, group="BackTest Period")

// Look if the close time of the current bar
// falls inside the date range
_inDateRange = (time >= timestamp(syminfo.timezone, _startYear,
         _startMonth, _startDate, 0, 0)) and
     (time < timestamp(syminfo.timezone, _endYear, _endMonth, _endDate, 0, 0))
  
//Alert configuration     

_alertMessageOpenLong="OpenLong"
_alertMessageCloseLong="CloseLong"
_alertmessageExitLong="ExitLong - TP/SL"

_alertMessageOpenShort="OpenShort"
_alertMessageCloseShort="CloseShort"
_alertMessageExitShort="ExitShort - TP/SL"

if (_inDateRange)
    //ENTER SOME SETUP TRADES FOR TSL EXAMPLE
    if (demaCrossover)
        strategy.entry("LONG", strategy.long, comment = _alertMessageOpenLong)
    if (demaCrossunder)
        strategy.entry("SHORT", strategy.short, comment = _alertMessageOpenShort)
    //EXIT TRADE @ TSL
    if strategy.position_size > 0
        strategy.exit("TP/SL", "LONG", stop=longStop, limit=longTake1Price, comment=_alertmessageExitLong, alert_message=_alertmessageExitLong)
    if strategy.position_size < 0
        strategy.exit("TP/SL", "SHORT", stop=shortStop, limit=shortTake1Price, comment =_alertMessageExitShort, alert_message=_alertMessageExitShort)


//Look & Feel - Plot stop loss and take profit areas
p1=plot(strategy.position_avg_price, color=color.blue, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Preço de entrada")
p2=plot(series=strategy.position_size > 0 ? longStop : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Long Stop")
p3=plot(series=strategy.position_size > 0 ? longTake1Price : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Long TP")
p4=plot(series=strategy.position_size < 0 ? shortStop : na, color=color.red, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Short Stop")
p5=plot(series=strategy.position_size < 0 ? shortTake1Price : na, color=color.green, style=plot.style_linebr, linewidth=1, title="Short TP")
fill(p1, p2, color=color.red)
fill(p1, p3, color=color.green)
fill(p1, p4, color=color.red)
fill(p1, p5, color=color.green)

// Insert label with value
stopLossOnLong = "Stop Loss = " + tostring(longStop)
stopLossOnShort = "Stop Loss = " + tostring(shortStop)
takeprofitOnLong = "Take Profit = " + tostring(longTake1Price)
takeprofitOnShort = "Take Profit = " + tostring(shortTake1Price)
precoentrada = "Entrada = " + tostring(strategy.position_avg_price)

var label FinalLabelpriceL = na
var label FinalLabelpriceS = na
var label slFinalLabelL = na
var label slFinalLabelS = na
var label slFinalLabelTPL = na
var label slFinalLabelTPS = na


//Draw entry and stop loss lines and labels

if strategy.position_size > 0   
    
    //write the price above the end of the stoploss line
    slFinalLabelL := label.new(bar_index, longStop, stopLossOnLong, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.red)
    slFinalLabelTPL := label.new(bar_index, longTake1Price, takeprofitOnLong, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.green)
    FinalLabelpriceL := label.new(bar_index, strategy.position_avg_price, precoentrada, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.blue)
    
    // Delete previous label when there is a consecutive new high, as there's no line plot in that case.
    if strategy.position_size > 0[1]
        label.delete(slFinalLabelL[1])
        label.delete(slFinalLabelTPL[1])
        label.delete(FinalLabelpriceL[1])

if strategy.position_size < 0   
    
    //write the price above the end of the stoploss line
    slFinalLabelS := label.new(bar_index, shortStop, stopLossOnShort, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.red)
    slFinalLabelTPS := label.new(bar_index, shortTake1Price, takeprofitOnShort, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.green)
    FinalLabelpriceS := label.new(bar_index, strategy.position_avg_price, precoentrada, style=label.style_none, size=size.normal, textcolor=color.blue)
    
    // Delete previous label when there is a consecutive new high, as there's no line plot in that case.
    if strategy.position_size < 0[1]
        label.delete(slFinalLabelS[1])
        label.delete(slFinalLabelTPS[1]) 
        label.delete(FinalLabelpriceS[1])

    
// Exit open market position when date range ends
if (not _inDateRange)
    strategy.close_all()

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